Still Believe ‘A Calorie Is a Calorie’?: via HuffPost

Still Believe ‘A Calorie Is a Calorie’?: via HuffPost Calories are just a measure of the energy released if you burn away something with a flame. There is no such organ in the body and calories do not illuminate how something acts metabolically.

Cannibal plot trial A basic problem with the conspiracy part of the case is there doen’t appear to be any conspiracy. Unless they’ve done something weird with the definition there, it implies that there are two people working together. Broadcasting one’s intentions to another person does not create a conspiracy.

It Would Seem That Bob Woodward Does Not Understand How The Constitution Works: via HuffPost

It Would Seem That Bob Woodward Does Not Understand How The Constitution Works: via HuffPost A point the journalist is missing is that congress has passed inconsistent laws, and it is unconstitutional to default. Why should Obama obey one law and not the ones it conflicts with.

Chris Christie Not Concerned About Lack Of CPAC Invite: ‘That’s Their Call’: via HuffPost

Chris Christie Not Concerned About Lack Of CPAC Invite: ‘That’s Their Call’: via HuffPost Christie had been snubbing that group of anarchists for years, and although I’d never heard of them before it’s now the “all-star game”? Maybe they mean like that meaningless and badly played game every year for the players who didn’t make the Superbowl.

Monsanto Seed Case Reaches U.S. Supreme Court: via HuffPost

Monsanto Seed Case Reaches U.S. Supreme Court: via HuffPost Only two interesting issues here, one being the terms on which the soybeans in issue were sold, the other being a monopoly issue. It may now be difficult to buy soybeans that are unaltered. But I see it as a contract case. If the contract to buy feed soybeans did not specify that they could not be used for planting there may be a fundamental problem.

Supreme Court Takes Campaign Finance Case, Will Rule On Contribution Limits: via HuffPost

Supreme Court Takes Campaign Finance Case, Will Rule On Contribution Limits: via HuffPost Free speech isn’t unlimited speech just like a right to bear arms doesn’t give each of us a right to nuclear weapons. A right isn’t a divine fiat.

Meteor science and binary thinking

So large one asteroid passed by and another hit the earth within 5 hours of each other, very long odds.

So on the one hand the trajectories of the two asteroids were very different, on the other, the odds of two such events occurring at about the same time look to be around 100 million to 1- from the limited information we have on such things.  

On the other hand, the trajectory of the asteroids is only one issue.

Both have orbits that go way off the elliptic plane, although they come close to the sun.  That suggests that neither orbit is mature.  Orbits should have a tendency to flatten to the elliptic plane of the solar system over time. 

Also, bodies that spend time above the elliptic usually spend time below the elliptic.  It is really incidental that the two asteroids were crossing the elliptic in close to opposite directions. 

So it is probable that both have been disturbed fairly recently, in cosmic terms. 

Note that within a day there was another fireball over California.

Here is one issue that is missing from the probability calculations: how many fragments were there? 

Lets say that there are two asteroids of comparable size in the asteroid belt in more or less stable orbits, but one is slightly higher than the other with respect to the elliptic.

What will happen if they collide? The higher one will be bounced up, the lower one bounced down, into new orbits.  

Let’s say one asteroid remains more or less intact from the collision but the other one fragments into many pieces. 

Because the new trajectories stem from the same incident, it is possible that they will be in sync, the one mostly whole asteroid and the fragments of the other one.  There may be some mathematical resonance there, and that the force up from the collision is going to equal the force down may cause them to cross the elliptic at similar times.  That’s a hypothesis.

Now if asteroid B had fragmented into a hundred two meter chunks and fanned out, then how do our odds look for hitting one of those fragments when they cross earth’s orbit and the elliptic?  Then the odds start to look a lot better.   Then the calculation of odds is off because we’re looking at it the wrong way, what are the odds on any day that we would randomly be hit by a meteor vs. what are the odds of hitting a meteor if the earth passes through a debris field.  

If there is a debris field moving in some kind of resonance with an asteroid because the trajectories of both are tied to the same event, the odds of both passing on the same day go way up. 

When considering whether two cosmic events are connected, you don’t  just go back and review the past 24 hours.